I've updated performance for August (and July somehow it didn't save previously)
Overall stock exposure is high for me at around 55%. That said, my portfolio is underperforming as I don't seem to have the "right" 55%. Part of the problem is that I classify PFF, JTP and JPS as equity and they have behaved more like interest rate sensitive stocks. I don't disagree with that assessment as preferreds have limited upside. Back when I first purchased PFF, this was not the case as the preferreds were trading at such a huge discount that they acted like stocks during the rally. They are now more fully priced, so from here it will behave more like fixed income. I definitely should have been more dynamic in reclassifying the ETF's in my portfolio.
If I reclassify, my weight in stocks is around 40% and about 60% in bonds. This would be more in line with my performance versus the benchmark.
In the past, I have not been as concerned with lower returns, as my Sharpe ratio was staying at a comfortably high level. I have recently dropped below 1.0, which I am not happy with. The interpretation is that my portfolio is too risky for the return I am getting. The benchmark is still well above and I should take steps to look more like the benchmark.
Aside from some poor stock selection (AAPL, RAX and few other) the major source of my underperformance is longer duration. I have had my bond exposure too long versus the benchmark of 10 year treasuries. I am still convinced that long maturity bonds are a good buy. I am not convinced by growth in the US (or globally for that matter). QE taper, or not, our rates should not be going up. In addition, my muni bet has been a killer.
I do expect the muni ETF to come back over time (with the help of dividends, of course) but it may take a while. I should add some more on down days. If I do, it will be on a duration hedged basis.
KMI
has suffered a close to 10% drop, perhaps on some news that an analyst is going to show that company has some irregularities.
I am going to take this opportunity to buy a bit more of this stock.
CLX and KMB
are trading at relatively high multiples. I previously trimmed (or completely got out) of some of my big cap dividend stocks (KO, PG, GE, JNJ) and while that proved to be a good move, I did not sell any CLX and KMB, even though they were just as highly valued. I chose not to at the time because I reasoned that their higher dividend payouts would shield them a bit more from downside. I am not so optimistic right now so I am looking to trim those positions and maybe get out. Taxes can sometimes be a hindrance to moving positions around, but I try my best to not let them intrude too much.
JNJ and GE are now close to buy levels again.
I will look to replace the equity exposure with SPY or IWM.
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